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TableĀ 3 Jackprot probabilities applied to the genomic sequence coding for 160 amino acids (aa) and a stop codon of KcsA

From: The Jackprot Simulation Couples Mutation Rate with Natural Selection to Illustrate How Protein Evolution Is Not Random

aa

Acronym

Codon

No. of simulations under selection required to generate correct nucleotide sequence per position

Total observed with selectiona

Expected with selectionb

Expected without selectionc

1st

2nd

3rd

M

met

atg

1

2

4

7

12

64

P

pro

cca

4

6

2

12

12

64

P

pro

ccc

3

5

4

12

12

64

M

met

atg

6

3

9

18

12

64

L

leu

ctg

5

3

5

13

12

64

S

ser

tcc

2

5

2

9

12

64

G

gly

ggt

2

1

2

5

12

64

L

leu

ctt

3

4

3

10

12

64

L

leu

ctg

1

4

1

6

12

64

A

ala

gcc

1

2

2

5

12

64

R

arg

aga

3

1

4

8

12

64

L

leu

ttg

6

1

1

8

12

64

V

val

gtc

3

3

3

9

12

64

K

lys

aaa

2

2

2

6

12

64

L

leu

ctg

1

12

5

18

12

64

L

leu

ctg

2

4

5

11

12

64

L

leu

ctc

3

1

2

6

12

64

G

gly

ggg

10

7

2

19

12

64

R

arg

cgc

3

4

3

10

12

64

H

hys

cac

3

2

5

10

12

64

G

gly

ggc

3

8

9

20

12

64

S

ser

agt

4

3

1

8

12

64

A

ala

gcg

1

1

6

8

12

64

L

leu

ctg

2

3

4

9

12

64

H

hys

cac

1

5

6

12

12

64

W

trp

tgg

4

4

3

11

12

64

R

arg

agg

6

5

2

13

12

64

A

ala

gcc

4

7

1

12

12

64

A

ala

gcg

1

5

8

14

12

64

G

gly

ggt

1

3

1

5

12

64

A

ala

gcc

9

2

2

13

12

64

A

ala

gcg

3

1

2

6

12

64

T

thr

acg

1

1

3

5

12

64

V

val

gtc

10

4

6

20

12

64

L

leu

ctc

2

2

2

6

12

64

L

leu

ctg

1

2

5

8

12

64

V

val

gtg

3

5

2

10

12

64

I

ile

atc

1

1

2

4

12

64

V

val

gtc

2

8

5

15

12

64

L

leu

ctc

5

1

2

8

12

64

L

leu

ctc

1

17

1

19

12

64

A

ala

gcg

2

9

2

13

12

64

G

gly

ggc

1

3

2

6

12

64

S

ser

tcg

1

7

2

10

12

64

Y

tyr

tac

5

1

1

7

12

64

L

leu

ttg

1

9

6

16

12

64

A

ala

gcc

1

4

1

6

12

64

V

val

gtc

1

2

2

5

12

64

L

leu

ctg

5

2

1

8

12

64

A

ala

gct

4

4

1

9

12

64

E

glu

gag

1

5

8

14

12

64

R

arg

cgc

2

2

8

12

12

64

G

gly

ggc

1

2

2

5

12

64

A

ala

gca

7

2

2

11

12

64

P

pro

ccg

3

5

5

13

12

64

G

gly

ggc

9

5

1

15

12

64

A

ala

gcg

5

3

7

15

12

64

Q

gln

cag

2

18

2

22

12

64

L

leu

ctg

1

2

3

6

12

64

I

ile

atc

2

2

1

5

12

64

T

thr

acg

2

2

4

8

12

64

Y

tyr

tat

1

3

1

5

12

64

P

pro

ccg

2

5

3

10

12

64

R

arg

cgg

4

1

1

6

12

64

A

ala

gcg

3

4

6

13

12

64

L

leu

ctg

1

5

1

7

12

64

W

trp

tgg

9

8

5

22

12

64

W

trp

tgg

3

4

1

8

12

64

S

ser

tcc

2

2

2

6

12

64

V

val

gtg

2

3

5

10

12

64

E

glu

gag

6

1

3

10

12

64

T

thr

acc

8

4

2

14

12

64

A

ala

gcg

4

2

1

7

12

64

T

thr

acg

1

7

4

12

12

64

T

thr

acc

4

2

10

16

12

64

V

val

gtc

3

2

5

10

12

64

G

gly

ggc

2

2

4

8

12

64

Y

tyr

tac

1

4

2

7

12

64

G

gly

ggc

2

4

5

11

12

64

D

asp

gac

2

3

4

9

12

64

L

leu

ctg

3

1

3

7

12

64

Y

tyr

tac

1

4

1

6

12

64

P

pro

ccc

2

2

7

11

12

64

V

val

gtg

3

3

4

10

12

64

T

thr

act

4

2

14

20

12

64

L

leu

ctg

9

4

1

14

12

64

W

trp

tgg

2

2

1

5

12

64

G

gly

ggc

3

1

1

5

12

64

R

arg

cgg

11

1

6

18

12

64

L

leu

ctc

3

5

6

14

12

64

V

val

gtg

8

3

14

25

12

64

A

ala

gcc

3

13

5

21

12

64

V

val

gtg

5

4

6

15

12

64

V

val

gtg

1

4

1

6

12

64

V

val

gtg

2

7

3

12

12

64

M

met

atg

3

2

6

11

12

64

V

val

gtc

3

9

2

14

12

64

A

ala

gcc

7

6

4

17

12

64

G

gly

ggg

3

3

2

8

12

64

I

ile

atc

1

3

1

5

12

64

T

thr

acc

6

2

2

10

12

64

S

ser

tcc

7

3

10

20

12

64

F

phe

ttc

2

3

1

6

12

64

G

gly

ggt

10

3

4

17

12

64

L

leu

ctg

2

8

7

17

12

64

V

val

gtg

4

2

3

9

12

64

T

thr

acc

1

4

1

6

12

64

A

ala

gcc

2

6

2

10

12

64

A

ala

gcg

1

1

9

11

12

64

L

leu

ctg

2

8

1

11

12

64

A

ala

gcc

2

8

1

11

12

64

T

thr

acc

8

5

6

19

12

64

W

trp

tgg

1

2

1

4

12

64

F

phe

ttc

5

4

4

13

12

64

V

val

gtc

1

5

9

15

12

64

G

gly

ggc

6

2

1

9

12

64

R

arg

cgg

2

2

1

5

12

64

E

glu

gaa

6

2

4

12

12

64

Q

gln

caa

4

3

4

11

12

64

E

glu

gag

2

7

3

12

12

64

R

arg

cgc

4

7

7

18

12

64

R

arg

cgg

4

5

3

12

12

64

G

gly

ggc

2

1

6

9

12

64

H

his

cac

1

2

11

14

12

64

F

phe

ttc

5

7

11

23

12

64

V

val

gtg

6

2

11

19

12

64

R

arg

cgc

2

1

2

5

12

64

H

his

cac

3

1

4

8

12

64

S

ser

tcc

4

7

1

12

12

64

E

blu

gag

9

1

6

16

12

64

K

lys

aag

4

8

2

14

12

64

A

ala

gcc

9

1

3

13

12

64

A

ala

gcc

1

7

3

11

12

64

E

glu

gag

4

3

13

20

12

64

E

glu

gag

9

3

4

16

12

64

A

ala

gcg

1

1

1

3

12

64

Y

tyr

tac

2

1

5

8

12

64

T

thr

acg

11

5

2

18

12

64

R

arg

cgg

1

1

5

7

12

64

T

thr

acg

2

5

5

12

12

64

T

thr

acc

2

3

3

8

12

64

R

arg

cgg

1

5

2

8

12

64

A

ala

gcg

7

2

4

13

12

64

L

leu

ctg

4

5

8

17

12

64

H

his

cac

3

3

6

12

12

64

E

glu

gag

3

2

6

11

12

64

R

arg

cgt

10

8

9

27

12

64

F

phe

ttc

4

13

2

19

12

64

D

asp

gac

4

1

3

8

12

64

R

arg

cgt

1

8

1

10

12

64

L

leu

ttg

1

2

3

6

12

64

E

glu

gag

1

2

6

9

12

64

R

arg

cga

3

5

2

10

12

64

M

met

atg

6

1

3

10

12

64

L

leu

ctc

1

4

2

7

12

64

D

asp

gac

2

8

3

13

12

64

D

asp

gac

2

4

2

8

12

64

N

asn

aac

1

1

5

7

12

64

R

arg

cgc

1

22

3

26

12

64

R

arg

cgg

3

2

1

6

12

64

Stop

Ā 

tga

3

2

4

9

12

64

Total

Ā Ā 

543

646

610

1,799

1,932

10,304

Mean

Ā Ā 

3.37

4.01

3.78

11.17

12

64

Mode

Ā Ā 

1

2

2

8

12

64

Median

Ā Ā 

3

3

3

10

12

64

Max

Ā Ā 

11

22

14

27

12

64

Min

Ā Ā 

1

1

1

3

12

64

  1. The total observed-under-selection value of correct nucleotide sequence composition (= 1,799) is lower than and statistically different from the total expected-under-selection value (= 1,932; Chi-squareā€‰=ā€‰339.08; dfā€‰=ā€‰160; pā€‰ā‰¤ā€‰0.05), and it does differ from what would be expected by chance without selection (Chi-squareā€‰=ā€‰7081.95; dfā€‰=ā€‰160; pā€‰ā‰¤ā€‰0.001). The tinkering effect of selection on mutation rate expedites evolution and the jackprot model shows it. Protein sequence available at NCBI (GenBank Z37969; Swiss-Prot P0A334)
  2. aData generated from under-selection simulations in which one of four marked marbles (A, G, C, and T), each representing a nucleotide, was drawn from a hat until the matching-to-the-sequence-nucleotide was generated, e.g., atgā€‰=ā€‰one, two, and four times/first, second, and third positions, respectively
  3. bCorresponds to one in 12, or one divided by 4ā€‰+ā€‰4ā€‰+ā€‰4, i.e., the summation of the individual probabilities for each nucleotide position
  4. cCorresponds to one in 64, or one divided by 4ā€‰Ć—ā€‰4ā€‰Ć—ā€‰4, i.e., the total number of possible nucleotides per position multiplied by itself three times